Five Super Bets for NFL’s Big Game
The Super Bowl is Sunday and our NFL expert has provided his five best bets for the big game.
The Super Bowl is the biggest betting single-game event in sports wagering. The crowning of the NFL’s champion and the two-week period leading up to the game makes the game appealing to bet on.
The NFL markets the game in such a way that the advertisements during the broadcast of the game range as high as $6.5 million for a 30-second ad. Now that sports betting is legal in many states this should be the biggest legal handle for any Super Bowl in history.
There will be a multitude of bets for you to choose from between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. There are also several that should be avoided. They are the coin toss and whether it will be heads or tails. While the price is -105 for either bet, there is nothing to base your selection on. Another wager to stay away from is the color of the Gatorade bath. While each bath selected is an appealing price, it’s not worth the price. Let’s look at five game-related bets that are worth the risk.
Gainwell Runs Over Chiefs
Eagles running back Kenny Gainwell has exceeded 20 yards in his last three games. In his two playoffs games, Gainwell has average 13 attempts and 6.1 yards per carry.
The price is -110. Gainwell is becoming a larger part of the running game. Take him over the projected total of 20.5.
Prediction: Gainwell Over 20.5 yards (-110 at BetRivers)
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Kicker vs. Kicker
Let’s look at the head-to-head matchup between field goal kickers Chiefs’ Harrison Butker and Eagles’ Jake Elliott. The field goals made is Over 1.5 for either player.
The price for Elliott is -110 on the money line while Butker is -140. Elliot was tied for 19th in league scoring with 111 points. He made 86% of his field goals and 96.2 % of his extra points. Butker was 27th in scoring with 92 points and made 75% of his field goal attempts. Elliott will get more opportunities and convert on them. Take Elliott Over 1.5 field goals.
Prediction: Elliott Over 1.5 field goals (-110 at BetMGM)
Expect Big Game from Kelce
Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is arguably the best receiving tight end to ever play the game and quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be relying on him this Sunday.
The total on Kelce’s receptions is 6.5. The price for the Over is -145 on Bet365. Kelce has at least six receptions in his last six games.
In the two playoffs games, Kelce has averaged 10 receptions. The Chiefs suffered injuries to three of their wide receivers against the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game. Mahomes has targeted Kelce an average of 10 times over the last five games. Kelce comes over the total of 6.5.
Prediction: Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (-145 at bet365)
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Follow Under Trend
The total points is projected at 50.5. The price at Caesars for both the Over and Under is -110.
In the last five Super Bowls, three of the games have gone under that number. Four of the last five Super Bowls have gone under the projected total.
The last time the game went over was in 2018 when the Eagles defeated the New England Patriots 41-33. The Chiefs’ Over/Under for this season including the playoffs was 8-11. The Eagles will emphasize running the ball. If they are successful, that will limit the Chiefs opportunities to score. Take the Under in this game.
Prediction: Eagles-Chiefs Under 50.5 (-110 at Caesars)
Hurts Quarterbacks MVP Bid
There are odds on almost every player to win the Super Bowl MVP. While the defensive players have some extremely high odds associated with them winning MVP, the quarterbacks have won the award 31 times in the 56-year history of the game.
If you are looking at MVP, focus on Eagles QB Jalen Hurts or Kansas City QB Mahomes. Both players are listed at +130. Depending on which team you have winning, take that team’ s QB as MVP. I will go with Hurts as MVP.
Watch Super Bowl LVII on Fox at 6:30 p.m. ET. Enjoy the game, it should be a great one.
Prediction: Jalen Hurts MVP (+130 at Unibet)
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